馬斯克旗下的星鏈跟星盾系統，是全球最強大的衛星監控系統。 馬斯克提出對烏俄戰爭的實況觀察，值得關注。
03/30/2024 - 馬斯克提出警訊，說烏克蘭打越久，丟掉的國土會越多。 再打下去烏克蘭可能會丟掉奧德賽港，失去對黑海的控制權。 馬斯克呼籲雙方停戰息火，減少人命財產損失。
馬斯克說烏克蘭本來就沒有國防能力跟空優對抗俄羅斯，卻一心要加入北約，且不惜因此跟俄羅斯開戰，一開始就很不明智。 雖然西方國家給了很多援助，在沒天然屏障的條件下，烏克蘭很難抵禦俄羅斯。
馬斯克說戰爭拖越久，烏克蘭人的死傷會越多，俄羅斯不見得有能力吞掉整個烏克蘭，但打越久烏克蘭的失土會越多是可預見的。 俄軍有可能抵達Dnipro 聶泊河邊，之後占領黑海的出口港 Odessa 奧德賽。 馬斯克說他希望雙方馬上和談，減少人命損傷。
It was a tragic waste of life for Ukraine to attack a larger army that had defense in depth, minefields and stronger artillery when Ukraine lacked armor or air superiority! Any fool could have predicted that.
My recommendation a year ago was for Ukraine to entrench and apply all resources to defense. Even then, it is tough to hold land that doesn’t have strong natural barriers.
There is no chance of Russia taking all of Ukraine, as the local resistance would be extreme in the west, but Russia will certainly gain more land than they have today.
The longer the war goes on, the more territory Russia will gain until they hit the Dnepr, which is tough to overcome. However, if the war lasts long enough, Odessa will fall too.
Whether Ukraine loses all access to the Black Sea or not is, in my view, the real remaining question. I recommend a negotiated settlement before that happens.
#Ukraine #ElonMusk
x.com/elonmusk/statu…
https://x.com/ChooLucia/status/1774611215039213641?t=_lVf8C5RNXLSEZpzBP0uBg&s=35
03/30/2024 - 馬斯克提出警訊，說烏克蘭打越久，丟掉的國土會越多。 再打下去烏克蘭可能會丟掉奧德賽港，失去對黑海的控制權。 馬斯克呼籲雙方停戰息火，減少人命財產損失。
馬斯克說烏克蘭本來就沒有國防能力跟空優對抗俄羅斯，卻一心要加入北約，且不惜因此跟俄羅斯開戰，一開始就很不明智。 雖然西方國家給了很多援助，在沒天然屏障的條件下，烏克蘭很難抵禦俄羅斯。
馬斯克說戰爭拖越久，烏克蘭人的死傷會越多，俄羅斯不見得有能力吞掉整個烏克蘭，但打越久烏克蘭的失土會越多是可預見的。 俄軍有可能抵達Dnipro 聶泊河邊，之後占領黑海的出口港 Odessa 奧德賽。 馬斯克說他希望雙方馬上和談，減少人命損傷。
It was a tragic waste of life for Ukraine to attack a larger army that had defense in depth, minefields and stronger artillery when Ukraine lacked armor or air superiority! Any fool could have predicted that.
My recommendation a year ago was for Ukraine to entrench and apply all resources to defense. Even then, it is tough to hold land that doesn’t have strong natural barriers.
There is no chance of Russia taking all of Ukraine, as the local resistance would be extreme in the west, but Russia will certainly gain more land than they have today.
The longer the war goes on, the more territory Russia will gain until they hit the Dnepr, which is tough to overcome. However, if the war lasts long enough, Odessa will fall too.
Whether Ukraine loses all access to the Black Sea or not is, in my view, the real remaining question. I recommend a negotiated settlement before that happens.
#Ukraine #ElonMusk
x.com/elonmusk/statu…
https://x.com/ChooLucia/status/1774611215039213641?t=_lVf8C5RNXLSEZpzBP0uBg&s=35
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