🖐 Macro Watch | Dec 29, 2025 – Jan 2, 2026

Year-end trading slows down due to global holidays, but a few key macro releases and the FOMC minutes could still spark market movement, especially for USD, bonds, and risk assets.

Here are the most crypto-relevant macro events to watch this week:

🗓 Monday, December 29
🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories – 🕕 15:30
  💡 Consensus: -2.000M | Previous: -1.274M

🗓 Tuesday, December 30
🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting Minutes – 🕕 19:00

🗓 Wednesday, December 31
🏝 Global New Year’s Market Closures / Early Closes

🇨🇳 China Manufacturing PMI (Dec) – 🕕 01:30
  💡 Consensus: 49.4 | Previous: 49.2
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims – 🕕 13:30
  💡 Consensus: 215K | Previous: 214K
🇺🇸 Chicago PMI (Dec) – 🕕 14:45
  💡 Consensus: 39.5 | Previous: 36.3

🗓 Friday, January 2
🏖 Limited Trading / Holiday Closures Continue

🇺🇸 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Dec) – 🕕 14:45
  💡 Consensus: 51.8 | Previous: 51.8

🤔 Why it matters:
Even with thin holiday liquidity, the FOMC minutes mid-week and U.S. PMI data could create sharp but short-lived price swings. China’s PMI also provides an early signal for global manufacturing momentum heading into 2026.

👀 Expect lower liquidity and potentially higher volatility, especially around Wednesday’s FOMC minutes.

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