πŸ– Macro Watch | Aug 11 – 17, 2025

This week is all about inflation signals, GDP updates, and retail momentum, all of which could shift central bank expectations and drive market volatility.
Here are the most crypto-relevant macro events to watch this week:

πŸ—“ Tuesday, August 12
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core CPI (MoM - Jul) – πŸ•• 12:30
β€ƒβ€ƒβ€ƒπŸ’‘ Consensus: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ CPI (MoM - Jul) – πŸ•• 12:30
β€ƒβ€ƒβ€ƒπŸ’‘ Consensus: 0.2% | Previous: 0.3%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ CPI (YoY - Jul) – πŸ•• 12:30
β€ƒβ€ƒβ€ƒπŸ’‘ Consensus: 2.8% | Previous: 2.7%

πŸ—“ Wednesday, August 13
πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ German CPI (MoM - Jul) – πŸ•• 06:00
β€ƒβ€ƒβ€ƒπŸ’‘ Consensus: 0.3% | Previous: 0.3%

πŸ—“ Thursday, August 14
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK GDP (QoQ - Q2) – πŸ•• 06:00
β€ƒβ€ƒβ€ƒπŸ’‘ Previous: 0.7%
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK GDP (YoY - Q2) – πŸ•• 06:00
β€ƒβ€ƒβ€ƒπŸ’‘ Previous: 1.3%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Initial Jobless Claims – πŸ•• 12:30
β€ƒβ€ƒβ€ƒπŸ’‘ Consensus: 220 K | Previous: 226 K
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ PPI (MoM - Jul) – πŸ•• 12:30
β€ƒβ€ƒβ€ƒπŸ’‘ Consensus: 0.2% | Previous: 0.0%
πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ GDP (QoQ - Q2) – πŸ•• 23:50
β€ƒβ€ƒβ€ƒπŸ’‘ Consensus: 0.1% | Previous: 0.0%

πŸ—“ Friday, August 15
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core Retail Sales (MoM - Jul) – πŸ•• 12:30
β€ƒβ€ƒβ€ƒπŸ’‘ Consensus: 0.3% | Previous: 0.5%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Retail Sales (MoM - Jul) – πŸ•• 12:30
β€ƒβ€ƒβ€ƒπŸ’‘ Consensus: 0.5% | Previous: 0.6%

πŸ€” Why it matters:
With CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales packed into one week, inflation sentiment will dominate. Expect heightened moves in bonds, USD, and crypto if prints surprise in either direction.

πŸ”” Mark your calendars. Markets are watching every word.

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