September is starting with a familiar problem: inflation.
🛢OIL REIGNITES INFLATION FEARS Renewed tensions between the U.S. and Iran pushed crude higher again, putting fresh pressure on inflation expectations.
🏦THE FED HAS A NEW PROBLEM After Warsh’s hawkish tone last week, higher oil prices could make the path toward easier monetary policy even harder.
💵BONDS ARE FEELING IT Treasury yields are moving higher as markets reassess where rates could be heading. That can quickly spill over into other risk assets.
📊SEPTEMBER DATA STARTS NOW China’s manufacturing data, U.S. ISM and Eurozone inflation are all on today’s radar, giving markets the first clues about the month ahead.
₿ CRYPTO CAN’T IGNORE MACRO Bitcoin enters September facing the same equation as other risk assets: sticky inflation, tighter liquidity and a Fed that may have less room to ease.
Oil is rising. Yields are rising. And September has just started.