Market Insight | BTC 4-Year Cycle: Is 2026 a Bear Market Year?Bitcoin recently saw strong volatility, dropping near
$60,000 before rebounding toward
$70,000, sparking renewed discussion around the famous
4-year cycle theory.
🔑 Key Points & Takeaways:
✅ BTC realized price (MVRV metric) sits around
$55,000 — a potential undervaluation zone
✅ Long-term holder cost basis is near
$40,000, historically linked with major cycle bottoms
✅ Despite bearish sentiment, relief rallies are possible
✅ CME gaps point to potential upside targets in the
$80,000–$84,000 range
✅ On-chain data shows low resistance between
$72K–$82K, which could allow fast rebounds if buying pressure increases
📌 Bottom Line:
While downside risks remain, on-chain and technical indicators suggest Bitcoin may still see strong
counter-rallies. Understanding these levels can help investors better navigate market volatility in
2026.
Stay informed. Trade smart with
CoinEx.
🚀Full Details:
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