Market Insight | BTC 4-Year Cycle: Is 2026 a Bear Market Year?

Bitcoin recently saw strong volatility, dropping near $60,000 before rebounding toward $70,000, sparking renewed discussion around the famous 4-year cycle theory.

🔑 Key Points & Takeaways:
✅ BTC realized price (MVRV metric) sits around $55,000 — a potential undervaluation zone
✅ Long-term holder cost basis is near $40,000, historically linked with major cycle bottoms
✅ Despite bearish sentiment, relief rallies are possible
✅ CME gaps point to potential upside targets in the $80,000–$84,000 range
✅ On-chain data shows low resistance between $72K–$82K, which could allow fast rebounds if buying pressure increases

📌 Bottom Line:
While downside risks remain, on-chain and technical indicators suggest Bitcoin may still see strong counter-rallies. Understanding these levels can help investors better navigate market volatility in 2026.

Stay informed. Trade smart with CoinEx. 🚀

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