🖐 Macro Watch | Oct 13 – 19, 2025

Key inflation updates, Fed commentary, and U.S. labor data dominate this week, all potential catalysts for major market swings.
Here are the most crypto-relevant macro events to watch this week:

🗓 Tuesday, October 14
🇩🇪 German CPI (MoM - Sep) – 🕕 06:00
   💡 Previous: 0.2% | Consensus: 0.2%
🇺🇸 Fed Chair Powell Speaks – 🕕 16:20

🗓 Wednesday, October 15
🇺🇸 Core CPI (MoM - Sep) – 🕕 12:30
   💡 Previous: 0.3% | Consensus: 0.3%
🇺🇸 CPI (MoM - Sep) – 🕕 12:30
   💡 Previous: 0.4% | Consensus: 0.3%
🇺🇸 CPI (YoY - Sep) – 🕕 12:30
   💡 Previous: 2.9%

🗓 Thursday, October 16
🇬🇧 UK GDP (MoM - Aug) – 🕕 06:00
   💡 Previous: 0.0% | Consensus: 0.1%
🇺🇸 Core Retail Sales (MoM - Sep) – 🕕 12:30
   💡 Previous: 0.7% | Consensus: 0.3%
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims – 🕕 12:30
   💡 Previous: 218K | Consensus: 223K
🇺🇸 Philadelphia Fed Index (Oct) – 🕕 12:30
   💡 Previous: 23.2 | Consensus: 9.1
🇺🇸 PPI (MoM - Sep) – 🕕 12:30
   💡 Previous: -0.1% | Consensus: 0.3%
🇺🇸 Retail Sales (MoM - Sep) – 🕕 12:30
   💡 Previous: 0.6% | Consensus: 0.4%
🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories – 🕕 16:00
   💡 Previous: 3.715M

🗓 Friday, October 17
🇪🇺 Eurozone CPI (YoY - Sep) – 🕕 09:00
   💡 Previous: 2.2% | Consensus: 2.2%
🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM - Sep) – 🕕 12:30
   💡 Previous: 0.3% | Consensus: 0.3%
🇺🇸 Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep) – 🕕 12:30
   💡 Previous: 22K | Consensus: 52K
🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate (Sep) – 🕕 12:30
   💡 Previous: 4.3% | Consensus: 4.3%

🤔 Why it matters:
Inflation signals from CPI, combined with Powell’s remarks, will influence rate expectations. But Friday’s NFP and wage numbers remain the ultimate volatility trigger for global markets.

👀 Watch Friday closely, jobs data could reset the entire macro narrative.

🔔 Mark your calendars. Markets are watching every word.

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